Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.471315 0.551390 0.641320 0.749887 0.877530 1.022998 1.201596
2024-12-15 0.355786 0.462912 0.596945 0.777391 1.014693 1.317115 1.733412
2024-12-22 0.287383 0.402033 0.556481 0.780626 1.099167 1.537976 2.192468
2024-12-29 0.245375 0.364032 0.533752 0.795616 1.192167 1.774539 2.702718
2025-01-05 0.206811 0.322548 0.496777 0.780072 1.233139 1.936251 3.123119
2025-01-12 0.178811 0.291556 0.469187 0.771870 1.280217 2.109236 3.583113
2025-01-19 0.158850 0.269723 0.451818 0.775722 1.344709 2.315995 4.127594
2025-01-26 0.148815 0.262503 0.456676 0.816363 1.475680 2.651063 4.945781
2025-02-02 0.139608 0.255164 0.459869 0.853726 1.605070 3.000248 5.843933
2025-02-09 0.129755 0.245143 0.456637 0.878275 1.713300 3.324476 6.744566
2025-02-16 0.119104 0.232095 0.445912 0.886623 1.790691 3.599252 7.588550
2025-02-23 0.108250 0.217167 0.429548 0.881266 1.839224 3.822211 8.358445
2025-03-02 0.096719 0.199684 0.406501 0.860283 1.854889 3.984907 9.037630
2025-03-09 0.091662 0.194855 0.408487 0.892358 1.989329 4.421888 10.411758
2025-03-16 0.084591 0.184795 0.398179 0.896084 2.061188 4.730866 11.539979
2025-03-23 0.079418 0.178153 0.394263 0.913369 2.166238 5.130515 12.956438
2025-03-30 0.072135 0.165842 0.376239 0.895444 2.185185 5.329360 13.902574
2025-04-06 0.066255 0.156010 0.362595 0.885988 2.223256 5.580147 15.027892
2025-04-13 0.061883 0.149180 0.355074 0.890429 2.296817 5.930953 16.485198
2025-04-20 0.060431 0.149223 0.363942 0.937294 2.487127 6.613029 18.989712
2025-04-27 0.058778 0.148554 0.370967 0.980388 2.674052 7.315475 21.685221
2025-05-04 0.056414 0.145778 0.372352 1.008708 2.824915 7.942755 24.276659
2025-05-11 0.053305 0.140681 0.367142 1.018339 2.924703 8.441543 26.569250